Rugby Blog primarily focusing on Welsh rugby

Tumblr ↗

Tag: welsh-rugby

  • Wales vs Ireland Review – Six Nations 2026

    Wales vs Ireland Review – Six Nations 2026

    Ireland 27 – 17 Wales

    Following Ireland’s 21-42 sweep against England, along with Wales’ historic poor performances in Dublin, this could’ve been a lot uglier than a 10 point deficit. A one score difference was well earned, however; Wales’ defence was far improved compared to previous weeks, and they made Ireland’s world class players fight for every score. An easy way to describe Walaes’ performance was annoying; for the opposition, thankfully. Where England struggled to handle Ireland’s varied attacking threats, Wales found a lot more answers, and forced the hosts to give it their all across the field.

    Ultimately though, the Irish had more opportunities to take advantage of; they got more points from Wales’ 22, held 57% of the possession, and did an equally effective job of countering Wales’ attack plan. Players like McCloskey and Baloucoune were quieter than in previous weeks, but their forward pack was more than enough to give them the edge in go-forward. A recurring pattern; Wales were the less clinical and well-drilled team, and therefore they simply got less out of their limited opportunities.

    Still an improvement over the Scotland performance overall, if only slightly. A lesser team would;ve collapsed to a lot more than 27 points conceded with how much Ireland threw at them. How much they can improve that showing against Italy is to be seen, but a win at home to break the losing streak is entirely on the table.

    Player Ratings:

    1: Rhys Carré – 9

    Ellis Genge-esque. Carré’s work with ball-in-hand was among the best on the field, as he kept pushing Ireland’s defence backwards and came close to scoring multiple times. But when he finally broke through, he proved why he;s a player who can;t be half-checked with a brilliant linebreak. A strong contender for the team of the tournament at this rate.

    2: Dewi Lake – 8

    Less noticeable than Carré, at least on attack; 4 dominant tackles is a hard number to ignore. Strong at the setpiece, Lake looks back to his best after a long slump in form, though Wales’ maul couldn’t quite get going to give him a scoring opportunity.

    3: Tomas Francis – 6

    Tom O’Toole is normally a tighthead prop and Wales’ pack was over 50 kg heavier than Ireland’s. Didn’t stop him from folding Francis in record time at the first scrum. Was a lot more stable for the rest of the game, and both side’s setpieces were equally matched for the most part.

    4: Dafydd Jenkins – 8

    About as good as last week; 27 tackles and a turnover speaks to his contributions around the park. A deliberate knock on caused issues at one point, but only came from his desire to involve himself in every effort made by his side.

    5: Ben Carter – 7

    Mostly solid; outread by Jack Crowley for the latter’s try, but with 19 tackles made, 1 missed is less concerning. Couldn’t match his teammates efforts otherwise before being replaced, but did well with what he was given.

    6: Alex Mann – 9

    32 tackles made, 2 dominant, a turnover and a try-saving snatch in Wales’ 22. Mann went above and beyond in every phase of play, including a near-try towards the end. He’s been a consistent performer since coming back into the Wales side after the Japan tour, but this was comfortably his best game yet.

    7: James Botham – 8

    Nice to see the Cardiff backrowers in their more comfortable positions; Botham didn’t win as many turnovers as he may have wanted, but it wasn’t for lack of trying. Tireless on defence, and almost scored out wide before claiming a score later on, Botham constantly frustrated Ireland’s attack and forced them to go around him rather than through.

    8: Aaron Wainwright – 7

    Having suffered an injury prior to the match, Waino’s influence was always going to be slightly more limited. 5 carries looks underwhelming, but with what he was able to contribute, he forced Ireland’s hand. A solid 16-1 defensive showing too, not far behind consistent tackle-machine Carter. Also, somehow he topped meters carried for Wales? In 44 minutes? What?

    9: Tomos Williams – 5

    Not just for the yellow card, although it certainly didn’t help Wales’ last 10 minutes being without a scrum-half. While he kept the attack flowing, Williams couldn’t really create much after Carré’s try, and his kicking wasn’t much help either. Got targeted a lot on defence and didn’t handle it well.

    10: Dan Edwards – 6

    Got targeted a lot on defence and didn;t handle it well. Saving a try with some level-headed playmaking gives him an extra point, though with Costelow’s performance last week, the drop-off was felt. A good player, and some of his kicks helped relieve pressure, but others went more astray.

    11: Josh Adams – 4

    Pretty quiet. When given the ball out wide, didn’t put Ireland under too much pressure and looked indecisive in parts. Missed a pass to Botham which kind of summed up his night.

    12: Joe Hawkins – 6

    Got targeted a lot on defence and… was ok? 15 tackles made, but tied with Tomos for most missed with 4. Still, his kicking game was one of the more consistent on his team, and 10 carries is actually one of the higher numbers among Wales’ ranks. Context is relevant; McCloskey has been one of the tournament’s best players, and Hawkins more than held his own.

    13: Eddie James – 7

    Also quieter than usual, but really frustrated Ireland out wide. Similar workrate to Hawkins with 10 carries and 15 tackles, but missed none. Ireland’s midfield defence is very strong, though, so James could only do so much to dent it.

    14: Ellis Mee – 6

    Fine? Stockdale comfortably had the edge under the high ball, but Mee made a good account of himself when pressured on defence. Didn’t see too much ball, though, as the play was more focused on Adams’ side.

    15: Louis Rees-Zammit – 6

    Doesn’t feel like a world-class player at the moment. Deserves credit for his 50:22 and some solid carries, along with a reasonable defensive effort at times, but was quiet for most of the second half.

    BENCH

    16: Ryan Elias – 7

    Played his part in Wales’ consistent setpiece, though their maul got stopped pretty quickly. Good carries.

    17: Nicky Smith – 8

    Crushed Furlong in the scrum, but didn’t have the same defensive impact as last week.

    18: Archie Griffin – 7

    Much better scrum performance than last week, which isn’t saying much, but looked a lot closer to his usual form overall.

    19: Adam Beard – N/A

    Being given a second chance to earn a starting spot, Beard made 3 carries and 1 tackle in 24 minutes. Meh.

    20: Olly Cracknell – 7

    Isn’t Wainwright, but put in a similar effort with an insane 15 carries in 36 minutes. That’s as many as MotM Conan made in the entire game. Less notable on defence compared to Botham and Mann, but contributed well overall.

    21: Kieran Hardy – N/A

    Technically, Tomos didn’t play 80 minutes thanks to the yellow card, so not much reason to replace him.

    22: Jarrod Evans – N/A

    Slightly more surprising unused replacement, though Hawkins did well. No last minute kicks this time.

    23: Louie Hennessey – 6

    Got his first cap, and seemed to make more impact than Mee somehow. Threw himself into everything available, though to little result. 

    My Team vs Italy

    1. Rhys Carré
    2. Dewi Lake
    3. Tomas Francis
    4. Dafydd Jenkins
    5. Ben Carter
    6. Alex Mann
    7. James Botham
    8. Aaron Wainwright
    9. Tomos Williams
    10. Sam Costelow
    11. Mason Grady
    12. Joe Hawkins
    13. Eddie James
    14. Tom Rogers
    15. Louis Rees-Zammit

    BENCH

    1. Ryan Elias
    2. Nicky Smith
    3. Kieron Assiratti
    4. Freddie Thomas
    5. Josh Macleod
    6. Kieran Hardy
    7. Jarrod Evans
    8. Blair Murray

    Once again, not many changes. Assiratti should be back to full fitness by now, and while Griffin played well, Assiratti’s performances in the Autumn deserve to be built upon. Management is hopeful that Costelow will be fit for the Italy game, in which case he comes back too. As for the bench, Freddie Thomas has been relatively underutilised so far this campaign, and should take the chance to prove what he brings to the squad. Josh Macleod has both the versatility and experience to act as a useful bench replacement; Cracknell and Woodman are larger and stronger, but against Italy, breakdown control will be needed to compete with their dual opensides and slow down their ball. If Wainwright isn’t fit, however, Cracknell will need to come in. 

    The back three is more interesting, as none of them have really clicked so far this tournament. Josh Adams has 2 tries, but these have mostly come from finishing phase plays rather than dominant gameplay. Louis Rees-Zammit is statistically impressive, but his performances so far have left a lot to be desired. He keeps his space though, as the other fullback options are riskier. Meanwhile, Tom Rogers hasn’t had a minute of rugby all campaign, and Mason Grady looked strong off the bench at the start, so they take Josh Adams and Ellis Mee’s places in the XV. Blair Murray adds more pace and should up the tempo coming off the bench.

    Italy have had an excellent campaign so far, but with Wales’ own improvements, a larger pack, and the homefield advantage, a victory is certainly achievable.

  • Wales vs England Review – Six Nations 2026

    Wales vs England Review – Six Nations 2026

    England 48 – 7 Wales

    With England’s far stronger Autumn campaign and ominous form, most people were expecting a clear victory for the hosts to kick off their campaign. And they were right; England took the lead in just about every area, and were far more clinical and composed in their opportunities compared to their less disciplined opponents.

    For what it’s worth though, Wales did generally improve on last year’s embarrassment; tactically, they had a better idea of how to approach the game, and there were fewer awful performances and more solid ones. No one really stood out, though, and with a dire scoreline at half time, no one would be forgiven for expecting the sins of the past to drag them back into another demolishment.

    Both sides had moments of non-thought and ill-discipline, but Wales’ were more frequent and more costly, and their attack wasn’t ruthless enough to compensate. There’s no quick fix here; this is just the gap between both teams at the moment. There are tweaks to be made going forward that might be enough for Wales to bounce back later down the line (especially with how weak Ireland and Scotland were in their own opening matches) but with things as they are, the team will need to do better than that to avoid the Wooden Spoon.

    Player Ratings

    1: Nicky Smith – 3

    Against his Leicester partner, gave a poor account of himself in the scrum war. His yellow card was the deserved result of Wales’ constant penalty woes rather than his own weakness, but from one of the team’s more constant players this was not a great showing.

    2: Dewi Lake – 3

    Has come under fire for his lineout throwing, which was actually solid this game, but everything else was not. As leader, his own showings of poor discipline and mental fog did little but hold the team back for the first half, and his illegal maul takedown earned him a deserved yellow. Better second half, but there’s no coming back from that at this level.

    3: Archie Griffin – 7

    By default, the best of the front row, but Griffin generally gave a strong showing. Struggled in the scrum without his captain, but put in a solid shift around the park to compensate, making all 11 of his tackles. Couldn’t ask much more of him against a pack of England’s quality.

    4: Dafydd Jenkins – 4

    One of my favourite players here, but this was an underperformance. 3 penalties is below his standards, and while he topped the tackle charts as expected, his usual game intelligence evaded him as he also missed 3. Needs to to a little better

    5: Adam Beard – 6

    It’s weird to be lauding a player for achieving a 6/10, but with how much criticism he’s come under Beard actually had a pretty solid game. Underutilised at the lineout, he remained a notable presence around the park, making 9 tackles and 4 carries. Probably keeps his spot next week.

    6: Alex Mann – 5

    Did a good job winding up Ellis Genge and earning a penalty, and put in a nice shift on both sides of the ball, but ended up being taken away to accommodate the yellows. Quieter than his teammates as a result

    7: Josh Macleod – 6

    Not exceptional, but still belongs at this level. Great work to win a turnover and gave England consistent difficulties throughout his time on the pitch, aided by some decent carries, but England’s backrow has 3 7s and he’s not at their level.

    8: Aaron Wainwright – 7

    Pure workhorse, and arguably Wales’ best performer. Beat 5 defenders, and actually looked a match for the world class Ben Earl. Not enough power to keep them in the game, though.

    9: Tomos Williams – 6

    Needed more speed out of the ruck to counter England’s physicality, but kept a decent level of control when Wales had possession and was a persistent defender.

    10: Dan Edwards – 6

    Good kicking performance, especially for Josh Adams’ try, but was defensively a lot weaker. Can’t take all the blame for how comfortably Freeman and Dingwall made dents in the centrefield, but certainly could’ve done more.

    11: Josh Adams – 5

    Not a lot of opportunities, but took them well. Good account of himself under the high ball and scored the only try, but Wales couldn’t get nearly enough ball to him.

    12: Ben Thomas – 2

    Thomas’ festive season showings looked promising, but he self-destructed here. Missed 2 of his 6 tackle attempts and made persistent errors, like his brainless pass attempt to Rees-Zammit and his eventual yellow. Shouldn’t keep this jersey.

    13: Eddie James – 6

    Showed his potential with some strong carries, but Wales just couldn’t give him the ball enough. Good defensive shift too, missing none of his tackles when Wales hated defending the midfield.

    14: Ellis Mee – 5

    Not enough attacking plays, but was quite good under the high ball. Mee is certainly a player with potential at this level, but with how Wales are relative to the other Six Nations sides, they need to give him enough room to work with.

    15: Louis Rees-Zammit – 7

    Made a mistake in coming offside and completely flubbed one high ball; generally looked a little green at fullback at international level. Still, his one break showed his quality, and was much better under the high ball than Blair Murray in the Autumn, countering a powerful spiral bomb from Ford. Should stay here going forward.

    BENCH

    16: Liam Belcher – 4

    Could’ve given him an N/A given how little he really impacted proceedings. 1 carry and 1 tackle in 23 minutes, not his trademark workrate

    17: Rhys Carré – 6

    Deserves a decent score for a decent game. Constantly got Wales moving forward with ball in hand and made a case to start again the massive France pack. Didn’t help the scrum much, though.

    18: Tomas Francis – 5

    Quite anonymous, but nice to see him back on the test arena. Added some stability to the scrum when Wales needed it, but didn’t bring Griffin’s level of workrate.

    19: Ben Carter – N/A

    Should’ve probably been called in earlier given his defensive skills

    20: Taine Plumtree – 6

    Has had his fair share of yellows, but this one was harder to avoid given Pollock was mid-dive. Added a lot more dynamism in attack when Wales were lacking, and makes a case that the bench is his best position.

    21: Harri Deaves – 6

    Like Plumtree, minus the errors for the most part. Some strong carries and good defensive work, though England had Wales beat by that point and Deaves couldn’t do enough on his own.

    22: Keiran Hardy – N/A

    Tomos was pretty good, and with Dewi struggling, his leadership was needed. Hardy probably isn’t getting much gametime if this pattern persists.

    23: Mason Grady – 6

    Like Plumtree and Deaves, had the energy to match England and gave them a real challenge in the carry, but couldn’t reverse England’s momentum.

    My Team for Next Week:

    1: Rhys Carré

    2: Dewi Lake

    3: Tomas Francis

    4: Ben Carter

    5: Dafydd Jenkins

    6: Olly Cracknell

    7: Josh Macleod

    8: Aaron Wainwright

    9: Tomos Williams

    10: Dan Edwards

    11: Josh Adams

    12: Joe Hawkins

    13: Eddie James

    14: Ellis Mee

    15: Louis Rees-Zammit

    BENCH

    16: Ryan Elias

    17: Nicky Smith

    18: Archie Griffin

    19: Rhys Davies

    20: Freddie Thomas 

    21: James Botham

    22: Kieran Hardy

    23: Mason Grady

    Besides dropping Thomas for Hawkins, the backline did decently well for what they were given, so I’ve kept the system the same. Grady could start for some extra physical energy, though he offers more utility in the 6-2 split. Otherwise, power will be needed against the strongest team in the Six Nations, while aerial control remains a focus as France try to expand into this area of their game. Maintaining territory will be critical; possession and consistency in the 22 can give us the tools to keep France on the backfoot, as Dupont and Bielle-Biarrey will smell blood if Wales’ errors persist.

    The front rows swap as they have both the larger size and generally the strongest form after this weekend’s battering. I’d swap Lake and Elias if I could, but that probably won’t happen so it can stay as is. Mann and Deaves had strong games, but France have no problem overwhelming smaller backrowers, so Botham and Cracknell get in to help mitigate that. 

    Beard could’ve stayed, but I can justify giving Dafydd another chance as the locks will need to be more abrasive, and Carter has been in good form while Rhys Davies is overdue a spot. Freddie Thomas is an interesting one, as I would have him take Cracknell’s place at blindside; not his usual position, but he also provides a powerful carrying platform and should bring dynamism off the bench; his size and more consistent discipline gives him an edge over Plumtree, as Botham compensates for the lost versatility.

  • Wales Six Nations 2026 – Reaction and Analysis

    Wales Six Nations 2026 – Reaction and Analysis

    Having announced his first Six Nations squad, Steve Tandy will aim to end the team’s losing streak from the previous two tournaments, likely with home victories over Scotland and Italy. To do so, he’s played it relatively safe; only two uncapped players, many returners from the previous tour, and likely a similar gameplan as before, hopefully with some of the creases ironed out.

    In this blog, I’ll be going through the squad and providing insight into specific selections, predicting how the squad will likely be used, and selecting the team I would use in the first match against England.

    Front Row:

    Wales have struggled to produce consistent quality from their front-rowers in recent seasons, but the squad actually looks relatively strong here. Nicky Smith and Rhys Carré are two of the PREM’s most consistent looseheads, backed up by the experienced Gareth Thomas. While Kieron Assiratti and Archie Griffin have established themselves as the strongest tightheads available to Wales over their relatively short careers, they’ve frequently struggled against the pressures of international scrums.

    Therefore, it’s a huge boost to have Tomas Francis back, who has had no trouble anchoring the Welsh scrum against some of the strongest in the world. Whether he’s too far into his prime is questionable, but he also brings a wealth of experience; 77 caps to Assiratti and Griffin’s combined 30. Despite his absence from the international scene, he makes a good case to start.

    Update: Kieron Asiratti has been pulled from the Wales squad following a calf injury and has been replaced by Sam Wainwright. While not as experienced as Henry Thomas, Wainwright has a generally better discipline record and is a capable scrummager, and with most of the other options being injured, this is a good opportunity to show what he can do with the jersey.

    At hooker, Ryan Elias makes a welcome return for a Wales side in need of powerful carriers. While not the most reliable at the lineout, he possesses multiple helpful skills as an enforcer similarly to Dewi Lake. As captain, Lake tends to play as deep into games as possible, but Elias’ presence enables the front row to maintain its abrasive edge once the captain leaves. Liam Belcher, meanwhile, is a more technical player in place of the experienced Elliot Dee, though while smaller in size, he’s no less capable of dynamic carries and breakdown work.

    An improved performance from this front-row can help bring Wales’ stronger players into the game, though they’ll have an almighty challenge against England and France right out the gate.

    Second Row:

    Less to talk about here; individually, Dafydd Jenkins and Adam Beard are two of the most effective players Wales can deploy in the second row, and while they may have looked too similar in their strengths to make the most effective combination in the Autumn, Tandy’s other two selections makes this unlikely to change. At the very least, Freddie Thomas’ early injury means he may miss the starting fixture, so if Tandy wants to change things up, he may have to wait.

    Still, Ben Carter and Freddie Thomas are very effective players in the loose, so Wales could’ve done a lot worse here. The Dragons are on a rare surge of form at the moment, and Carter is helping to marshal that with his uncompromising defensive consistency with dominant tackles and turnovers. While Gloucester may be struggling, Freddie Thomas remains an aggressive carrier who is gradually improving his contributions at the setpiece, though whether he retains this role with Wales may change once Teddy Williams returns from injury.

    Beard has come under fire for his lack of attacking contributions (which is fair, though he produced solid work on defence), but his enormous size, lineout skills, and international experience make up for this as a whole. Still, Jenkins looks far above him in terms of form; he’s playing some of his best rugby for Exeter and seems to be getting larger as he matures into a stronger and more composed leader. Provided Beard carries his weight more in the lineout and Jenkins can physically hold off opponents, this area shouldn’t be an issue.

    Back Row:

    A lot more surprising here; though not a poor selection by any means, Tandy has very much avoided selecting on form. The main headline is the lack of Tommy Reffell, though in context I think it makes sense; with Jac Morgan and Aaron Wainwright, two nailed-on squad members, moving outside of Wales next season, it makes more sense to prioritise talents based in Wales and limit the number of players who may not make certain training camps. At the very least, Tandy seems to prefer Olly Cracknell’s powerful ball carrying synergy-wise.

    I left Josh Macleod out of my initial squad on form but I won’t deny he is a capable openside for international duty. His leadership and breakdown work should give him the ability to organise the backrow around him in the place of Jac Morgan. Harri Deaves isn’t really at the same level as a jackaler, but he can more than hold his own as a carrier, plus his workrate can help him out-effort the opposition when his smaller size holds him back.

    Alex Mann can continue to build on his strong showings in the Autumn, though he may not synergise as well with Macleod as Plumtree or Botham, who pack a little more power in contact. Plumtree’s discipline remains a consistent problem, but his athleticism and versatility make him valuable off the bench if needed. Meanwhile, Botham can more than push his way in with his combination of breakdown work and post-contact power. Mann may end up being pushed to cover openside by those two, though which skillset Tandy decides is more important remains to be seen.

    Halfback:

    Tomos Williams and Kieran Hardy keep their expected positions, though the lack of Che Hope is disappointing. Perhaps Tandy wanted the more consistently proven Reuben Morgan-Williams as a backup to the other two, though at 22 years old, one would expect Hope to work his way in as his game management matures.

    As one of Wales’ most talismanic players, Tomos will start every game he’s available for, though he struggled to keep up for the 70+ minute duration Tandy was having him play in the Autumn. As a result, Hardy may get a little more gametime if he’s able to replace Tomos sooner; he may not have the versatility and X-factor, but his fundamentals are more than strong enough to close out the game once the field has been broken up.

    Edwards and Evans will aim to maintain the same attacking system that worked well in the Autumn, but I’m happier than I expected to be to see the trust placed in Sam Costelow. Without him, the Scarlets’ midfield has look slower and less threatening than it can be under his guidance, and with players like Ellis Mee and Eddie James in good form, he adds a level of synergy not possessed by Edwards or Evans. He’s probably still the third choice by system, but if he can keep his confidence he could be a valuable backup.

    A shame not to see Angus O’Brien, though he may be better served as a fullback since he doesn’t fit the skillset needed for 10 as easily for Wales.

    Centres:

    Less to talk about here as it’s a lot of what I expected. Sheratt’s system of a playmaking 12 and a hard-carrying 13 persists with Hawkins and Thomas in the former jersey and likely Eddie James and Owen Watkin in the latter, with Louie Hennessey as a backup. Still, with Watkin and James having significant experience at 12, they could both pair up for a more powerful centre-field combo, though it’s unlikely we’ll see it.

    Thomas had a poor Autumn overall, but he’s been in some of his best form for Cardiff since then, winning two MotM awards and more than proving he can outplay dangerous backlines, which will be needed here. Hawkins still looks a little green, but his extra physical presence and generally stronger Autumn form might give him the edge to start.

    Who starts between Watkin and James is more interesting; Watkin has been a staple player for Wales given his valuable defensive skills and ability to safely link attacking plays, though he lacks the pace to develop them on his own. Eddie James, meanwhile, brings physical traits that Wales are lacking for the most part; you can’t coach more technical centres to be 6’4’’ and 110 kgs, and he’s been in solid form in both centre positions since returning from injury. He isn’t really a jackaler, so the question will ultimately come down to what Tandy needs more of outside the 12; James is more likely to inject some go-forward to the attack, but Watkin is less likely to miss over 3 tackles and lose the game by 40 points.

    Wings:

    If Tommy Reffell missing out was a surprise, Rio Dyer’s absence is a complete curveball; back to some of his best form and being one of the few bright sparks in the South Africa game, Dyer finds himself overlooked in favour of similar, less experienced and less in-form options who bring similar skills. Tandy may be playing it conservatively as he clearly favoured Josh Adams and Tom Rogers in the Autumn, but it’s a real shame as he would’ve been one of my starters against England.

    On the other side of the coin, Gabriel Hamer-Webb finds himself brought in almost a year later than when he left Wales to try his hand with Leicester. While the move hasn’t quite gone as planned (though competing with Adam Radwan and Ollie Hassell-Collins was always going to be an uphill battle if they missed England duty), his past form for Cardiff shows he can be a physical, capable finisher with a solid aerial game, like the other players selected here. If Tandy can create a kick-chase gameplan to exploit other teams in the air, these guys could do a lot of damage.

    Fullbacks:

    Is Blair Murray supposed to be a fullback? It may be optimistic to expect Tandy to just outright drop him from the position he typically plays for the Scarlets, even with Nigel Davies moving Joe Hawkins back to centre. Still, at international level, his height is a fundamental flaw that Tandy’s attempts to cover for can’t hide. With Louis Rees-Zammit consistently performing in this position for Bristol Bears and both Tom Rogers and Ellis Mee being in equally solid form, you’d be hard-pressed to justify him starting in the XV. Still, his playmaking and footwork are more than good enough for this level of rugby, so if Tandy decides that’s the route he wants to go down, he’ll need to step up in the aerial contest.

    My 23 for England:

    With all said and done, Wales are not in for an easy first tow fixtures. England are on fire right now, having won every game since the first match of last year’s Six Nations, and their depth in key areas completely outclasses Wales. While I’m building this XV with their existing structure in mind, Borthwick has shown no trouble in mixing things up between campaigns, and if he picks the right matchup this could get tricky.

    My Team:

    1: Nicky Smith

    2: Dewi Lake

    3: Tomas Francis

    4: Dafydd Jenkins

    5: Adam Beard

    6: Olly Cracknell

    7: Josh Macleod

    8: Aaron Wainwright

    9: Tomos Williams

    10: Dan Edwards

    11: Mason Grady

    12: Joe Hawkins

    13: Owen Watkin

    14: Tom Rogers

    15: Louis Rees-Zammit

    BENCH

    16: Ryan Elias

    17: Rhys Carré

    18: Archie Griffin

    19: Ben Carter

    20: Alex Mann

    21: Kieran Hardy

    22: Jarrod Evans

    23: Ellis Mee

    I think this team has the best balance to take on England, though I’ll run through specific selections in more detail. The front row is, generally, built around the largest and strongest scrummagers available. Without Fin Baxter, the tighthead will likely be facing the elite Ellis Genge, so Francis’ experience easily gives him the edge, although Archie Griffin had a decent showing against him last year. Elias also gets the nod over Liam Belcher, though either could fit there; with either likely to only play around 15 minutes, Elias’ weaker lineout throwing is less of a weakness, while his power is more important in late-game collisions.

    Beard and Jenkins isn’t the most balanced second row, but with Freddie Thomas missing the first game, this is the best way to make use of the available 3 locks; if Beard is playing, his set-piece skills only really matter if he starts. Olly Cracknell fits into 6 to try and provide a ball-carrying option outside of the lineout, as Wainwright is the only backrower in the selection who regularly takes them. With two powerful carriers around Josh Macloed, they should be able to slow down England’s ball and get over the gainline. Alex Mann, meanwhile, can cover 6 and 8 while exploiting tired defenders with his athleticism, and adds an additional jackal option late game.

    Tomos Williams and Dan Edwards start as the best players in their positions, and while Sam Costelow could fit in at 22, Jarrod Evans offers more versatility. Mason Grady brings a more powerful carrier at 11, and both he and Tom Rogers can chase down high balls and pressure out wide. Louis Rees-Zammit can take over from Murray at 15 as he possesses similar strengths, but fewer weaknesses as a fullback, though he may end up kicking more than he’s used to.

    The centre partnership was tricky, but I’ve opted for Joe Hawkins and Owen Watkin; while not the fastest or flashiest combo on attack, Watkin shores up Hawkins’ defensive difficulties and allows him to focus on playmaking, while offering an extra jackal threat as neither Cracknell or Wainwright are excellent over the ball. Eddie Jame may come into the fold later, but against England’s likely combo of Fraser Dingwall and Tommy Freeman, experienced defenders are just more important to not leak points.

  • My Wales Squad – Six Nations 2026

    My Wales Squad – Six Nations 2026

    After a mixed Autumn campaign and some interesting results at club level over the festive period, Tandy will be announcing his squad for the upcoming Six Nations. Among regional uncertainty, Wales will need to compete with an in-form England, full-strength France, still-growing Italy, as well as Ireland and Scotland, who’ve had their struggles in 2025 but still possess the strength and depth to compete with the best. Understandably, Wales are likely to finish in the bottom half of the standings.

    With England and Ireland away from home and France still being so strong, Scotland and Italy will be Wales’ best chances at ending their Six Nations losing streak. Still, it’s not all bleak; Wales ultimately improved as the year progressed, and while significant issues remain, their performances against Ireland and Scotland last year show enough promise that a victory is certainly achievable.

    General Playstyle:

    Overall, Wales played with the expected tactics; a playmaking 12, a team that can carry with agility and mobility over power, and a high ruck speed. Still, they fell apart defensively compared to their opposition, the lineout needed refining, and they were comfortably defeated in the air. Fixing these issues starts with selection.

    While Wales scrum improved overall (before being demolished by a more powerful South Africa pack), Wales aren’t really in a position to compete with top sides physically. For reference, what is generally agreed to be France’s strongest backrow (Cros, Olllivon, Alldritt) consists of 3 players who are at least 110kgs; across all of 2025, only Taulupe Faletau and Olly Cracknell are that large among Wales’ used backrowers. That’s not getting into the likes of Meafou and Antonoi, who are even larger again. Wales simply lack the options to compete in pure size (besides Rhys Carré and Dewi Lake), but mitigating this gap as much as possible will be a notable priority in selection.

    Wales also missed far too many tackles, leaving them vulnerable against the well-organised attacks of their opposition and almost cost them the game against Japan. More dominant tackles need to be achieved, as well as better openside cover as Wales were very quiet at the breakdown without Jac Morgan.

    As a final note, with Jac Morgan, Dewi Lake, and Aaron Wainwright so far confirmed to be leaving the Welsh regions, Tandy may need to prioritise Wales-based players to accommodate their elite internationals when they move overseas and keep a sufficient number of players in camp during international breaks.

    Props: 

    While Wales struggle for quality in this area, there was a considerable improvement at scrumtime to suggest it’s getting a little easier, though depth remains an issue.

    Loosehead is relatively straightforward; Nicky Smith remains one of the strongest scrummaging props in the Gallagher PREM, while Rhys Carré is an incredibly powerful carrier who makes great use of his size. It’s less a question of who will play and more of who starts. The third spot is more debatable; Gareth Thomas has held this position for a while now, but his performance dropped considerably in the autumn, while Danny Southworth and Garyn Phillips have put on excellent performances over the winter. Thomas’ injury will keep him out until the end of January, but with his experience and defensive work, you’d be surprised if he’s left out of the squad.

    Tighthead is the same old problem, though Assiratti has more than established himself as the first choice now, which at least solves that headache. His scrummaging work held out well against even the larger packs like New Zealand, and his carrying remains solid. Archie Griffin will continue to develop, but Christian Coleman remains injured after being taken off against South Africa.

    As almost all of the other candidates I’d consider are injured, the return of Tomas Francis from Provence is a major boost to Tandy. While he won’t leave France until next season, he has expressed an interest in continuing his Welsh career, and his size and ability to anchor a scrum is unmatched by Wales’ other props, especially as he has had far more gametime for high-flying Provence so far this season. Henry Thomas is his closest equivalent based in Wales, while Sam Wainwright and Rhys Henry offer younger options.

    With 2 out of 3 props on both sides of the scrum being based in the PREM next season, it isn’t ideal, and Southworth and Thomas could be called up to camp for training purposes, but with the limited options available, I think these selections strike the right balance of experience, scrummaging, and around-the-field prowess.

    My Choices: Nicky Smith, Rhys Carré, Gareth Thomas, Kieron Assiratti, Archie Griffin, Tomas Francis

    Injury/Training Cover: Danny Southworth, Henry Thomas

    Hooker:

    Dewi Lake remains one of Wales’ best forwards, but his lineout remains a persistent problem. Still, it’s not as though Wales are blessed with excellent lineout throwers, especially with Elliot Dee out injured, and none of them really compete with Lake over the ball, at the scrum, or in the carry. Liam Belcher is maybe not the largest option available, but he offers the most like-for-like replacement for Dee; his darts have been good so far for Cardiff, but his dynamic carrying is his point of difference. 

    Brodie Coghlan was the third man in the autumn, and while he has returned from injury, he’s barely played since November. Therefore, calling in a different player may be preferred. It’s between Evan Lloyd and Ryan Elias for me; Lloyd is the faster and more dynamic option, and though young, has clearly identified potential to be a superb international, while Elias has over 40 caps to his name and has been consistently strong for a struggling Scarlets side.

    Elias just takes it on his better defensive work and slightly more consistent darts, but neither excels in this area and Lloyd or Coghlan are similarly viable alternatives.

    My Choices: Dewi Lake, Liam Belcher, Ryan Elias

    Injury Cover: Evan Lloyd

    Locks:

    A combination of Dafydd Jenkons and Adam Beard was used in the autumn, but generally lacked dynamism and couldn’t resolve the lineout issues on its own. While both players retain their positions in my squad, as Jenkins is one of the most consistent players in the team and Beard’s experience and setpiece skills are invaluable, I think a new combination will need to be tested to physically compete with other teams.

    Ben Carter and Rhys Davies are generally stronger carriers into contact, and while neither can match the size of players like George Martin or Emmanuel Meafou, they can knock down defensive lines to create space for other players. Both have been in great form for Dragons and Ospreys respectively, and both are very consistent tacklers, averaging around 90% tackle success rate with plenty of dominant tackles and turnovers. 

    Freddie Thomas has held this position in the squad for a while, but his lack of international gametime in the autumn doesn’t do much to defend him. With him being based out of Wales, it’s harder to justify his selection over Jenkins and Beard. If Beard is injured, however, we may see players like James Fender being called up, as his size and lineout skills make him a like-for-like option.

    However, for the experience he provides, I’ve selected Jake Ball; though not a long-term call, he provides a similar level of power up-front, while he acts as a second experienced option if Beard is missing. He can realistically push for a starting spot, but can also drive standards around camp to help Carter and Davies understand their roles.

    My Choices: Dafydd Jenkins, Adam Beard, Ben Carter, Rhys Davies, Jake Ball

    Injury Cover: Freddie Thomas, James Fender

    Back Row:

    One of Wales’ deeper positions, though Jac Morgan’s injury means he will miss most if not all of the tournament, which is a considerable issue. While Wales have depth at openside, none of Wales’ opensides can match his all-around game, meaning that the backrow will need to be reshuffled to accommodate for it. Especially unhelpful is both Morgan and Wainwright’s announced departure from Welsh rugby; while Wales have good depth at regional level to support this, some players might be cut from future campaigns to ensure enough backrowers are available around camp.

    Still, Wainwright’s inclusion is a priority, as one of Wales’ best players, while Alex Mann should be retained for his Autumn consistency. He may not be the largest, but he provides a solid lineout and jackling option with his high workrate. Morgan Morse should also be retained; while he was limited to bench appearances in the autumn, he’s the full package on both sides of the ball and will only continue to develop.

    For the openside cover, Tommy Reffell should be recalled; while being based in Leicester will cause issues, his breakdown work and defensive consistency is hard to match, and he certainly has the experience required for the Six Nations. Josh Macleod could make a good deputy, though his tackle success rate so far this season has been relatively poor; 71% and 74% in both competitions. With how many tackles Wales missed last season, they may value James Botham’s physical edge and more consistent defence; while he isn’t a specialist openside, his versatility is very useful and his turnover rate is as consistent as Macleod’s.

    Olly Cracknell was also called up in the autumn, but with Morgan and Wainwright leaving Wales, he or Reffell may have to be dropped going forward. While Alun Lawrence or Morgan Morris don’t have the same power, the former is a very strong defender with a high workrate, while the latter offers more of a breakdown threat, and both are powerful carriers who are among their region’s better players. Lawrence’s more extensive gametime might edge him ahead, but either could work as a solid foil to Wainwright, making short and disposable carries that can aid Wales’ attack.

    Lastly, with Taulupe Faletau set to miss the Six Nations, Ross Moriarty’s international experience gives him the edge over Ryan Woodman; both can act as a stronger physical option to Mann, but with Lawrence uncapped and Mann, Morse, and Botham having under 20 caps, Moriarty can act as an extra carrying option who is certainly used to the physicality of the competition.

    My Choices: Alex Mann, Tommy Reffell, Aaron Wainwright, Morgan Morse, James Botham, Alun Lawrence, Ross Moriarty

    Injury Cover: Ryan Woodman, Josh Macleod, Olly Cracknell

    Scrum-Half:

    Tomos Williams is a nailed-on starter for as long as he is available, and his presence will be especially important without the talismanic Jac Morgan. Wales’ ruck speed was consistently high while he was on the field, and while he struggles to keep that quality high for 80 minutes, none of Wales’ present scrum-halves can compete with his game management and overall X-factor. Ball speed is crucial for phase-based attacking structures, which Wales will need to rely on against larger teams.

    Kieran Hardy hasn’t had the best 2025 at international level, but remains the strongest scrum-half based in Wales for his strong fundamentals and ability to effectively finish attacking phases. His performances over the festive period show how easily he can tear apart defences, while his kicking game continues to improve. Reuben Morgan-Williams backed him up against South Africa, but at regional level hasn’t really hit his usual stride, dropping him behind the others in the pecking order.

    However, Che Hope has entered the equation. Wales lack consistent quality among their younger scrum-halves, with no clear option to succeed Williams after the World Cup, but Hope has emerged as a serious contender following his exceptional performances for the Dragons over the festive period. While his game management isn’t at test-starting level yet, he can more than push Hardy for a bench spot and is someone Tandy must consider investing in.

    My Choices: Tomos Williams, Kieran Hardy, Che Hope

    Injury Cover: Reuben Morgan-Williams

    Fly-Half

    Dan Edwards has started to lock down the starting 10 jersey, as he progressively looks more and more comfortable at test level. While Wales will need to build younger depth with players like Sam Costelow or Ioan Lloyd, Edwards’ game management has been far more confident and consistent than theirs, but his ability to make quick breaks and seize opportunities to score tries gives him a serious point of difference above other Six Nations fly halves, let alone Wales’ options.

    More experienced players will likely back him up, as Jarrod Evans fits well into Matt Sherratt’s attack system with his ability to cover 10 and 12. His gametime over the autumn wasn’t particularly vast but he made the most of his limited appearances off the bench, which will likely be his role as he struggles to lead games when starting. Whether or not he is replaced by Costelow going forward will likely depend on how he performs here.

    Callum Sheedy’s experience with the squad and his consistent playmaking skills for Cardiff narrowly earn him the third fly-half spot, as few of the other options compete with him in these areas, while his goal-kicking kryptonite factor has lessened as the season has gone on. Angus O’Brien is another option who can more easily cover 15, but there exist plenty of other players who can do the same and he lacks Sheedy’s defensive merits.

    My Choices: Dan Edwards, Jarrod Evans, Callum Sheedy

    Injury Cover: Angus O’Brien

    Centres:

    Wales persisted with their playmaking 12, hard-carrying 13 strategy throughout the autumn, though Ben Thomas was replaced by Joe Hawkins after failing to perform against Argentina and Japan. Both are likely to be retained, though Hawkins has mostly played 10 for the Scarlets and has struggled defensively, while Thomas is back to his best form for Cardiff and has won two MotM awards in victories over Ulster and Racing, so who starts remains to be seen.

    Eddie James will aim to push for a starting spot too, especially with Max Llewellyn’s injury. He has all the fundamental skills for test rugby, his large size and powerful carrying paired with a strong offloading game being his best traits, and will be an important player to develop for the future. Covering both 12 and 13, he might push the smaller Nick Tompkins out of the squad.

    Lastly, some specialist 13s will need to replace Llewellyn. Owen Watkin is the most experienced option, and given Hawkins and Thomas’ defensive struggles, he should get in. Between the younger options, Joe Roberts and Louie Hennessey, they offer a quicker paced option though neither are as effective on defence. Hennessey better fits the power that Tandy wants from his centres, so I’ve given him the edge.

    My Choices: Ben Thomas, Joe Hawkins, Eddie James, Owen Watkin, Louie Hennessey

    Injury Cover: Nick Tompkins, Joe Roberts

    Outside Backs:

    I’m keeping fullbacks and wingers together for the sake of this blog, as there will be considerable overlap compared to last time. While one of Wales’ deepest player pools for international-level quality, the back three didn’t always perform consistently during the autumn, in large part due to difficulties in managing the high ball. With Leigh Halfpenny retired and Liam Williams struggling to reach the standards needed from an international fullback, Wales need to resolve their issues with the 15 jersey and nail down their best combination of wingers as soon as possible to compete with the quality of Europe’s best.

    While he has spent the majority of his career on the wing, Louis Rees-Zammit has firmly established himself in the 15 jersey for Bristol since returning to rugby union, and in a position where he can maximise his touches and start attacks, he could be similarly deadly for Wales. Blair Murray may be an excellent attacker, but he has struggled massively in the air and this leaves Wales vulnerable to the high ball. He may still make it in based on his establishment in the system, as Wales don’t have any real competition for in-form fullbacks with Cam Winnett struggling and Jacob Beetham’s limited gametime.

    Meanwhile, Tom Rogers should be a safe bet following his excellent outing against the All Blacks, making rugby history and continuing to develop at this level. At regional level, Mason Grady has fitted into his new role as a winger exceptionally, making for a uniquely powerful carrying threat that can be difficult to answer, while Rio Dyer is back to his best form for the Dragons. Either makes for a viable partner to Rogers on the wing, and I’d be surprised to see either missing from the international setup.

    For the last two spots, it’s between the aforementioned Murray, the experienced Josh Adams, and the rising star of Ellis Mee. Ospreys’ Keelan Giles may also get in, but perhaps overlaps too closely with Murray. Adams has been an excellent servant to Welsh Rugby over the past 8 years, but has struggled to maintain consistency in recent seasons and is progressively threatened as more players rise to the challenge for their clubs. Ellis Mee can’t match Adams’ portfolio, and both have been in similarly strong form for their clubs, notable for Mee given how much the Scarlets have struggled, but he remains a player worth investment who can cover both wings and fullback, and possesses strong game-reading ability for a player his age.

    How Tandy feels these players will fit into his system the best will likely prove the deciding factor, and quality players will miss out no matter what. But with how well the Scarlets back-three axis worked last year, and with Rees-Zammit and Dyer having considerable international experience themselves, I’ve taken the risk of dropping Josh Adams to the injury list.

    My Choices: Louis Rees-Zammit, Tom Rogers, Mason Grady, Rio Dyer, Blair Murray, Ellis Mee

    Injury Cover: Josh Adams, Jacob Beetham

    Summary:

    Wales may be underdogs, but there were enough strong performances over the festive period to suggest that the players are ready to compete at the Six Nations, especially with Cardiff and Ospreys’ European performances. While Wales had a difficult autumn on defence, they more than held their own in attack against their opposition, so Tandy will be aiming to build upon this in the Six Nations. In the opening two rounds of last campaign, Wales were criticised for their unimaginative and unmotivated attack; this time, it will certainly be different.

    Still, England and France being up first will no doubt present considerable difficulties; any positives gained from these encounters will be valued highly. Provided defensive shortcomings are managed, Wales have a solid shout at beating Scotland and Italy at home, but after the struggles of the past two years, any victory will be appreciated for developing Welsh rugby.

  • Wales vs South Africa Review – Autumn Nations 2025

    Wales vs South Africa Review – Autumn Nations 2025

    Wales 0 – 73 South Africa

    So that was something…

    Though not as wide a scoreline as their 96-13 loss against the Springboks in 1998, this is the kind of scoreline that shows the gap between Wales and the top sides. Down some of their Japan-based stars like Cheslin Kolbe and Pieter-Steph du Toit, Rassie’s men showed why this kind of limitation doesn’t matter to them; barring some errors at the start, they were completely merciless towards Wales and had them beat in every category. Any areas which felt underdeveloped at the halfway mark of 0-28 were immediately cleaned up, and their bench meant that forward control remained consistent across 80 minutes.

    With how resilient Wales have been staring down some of the strongest sides in World Rugby this year, they were visibly rattled by the time the visitors scored their sixth try; nothing they did could hold them back as the Springboks’ gameplan was clear; move the ball quickly and carry hard into contact, wearing down Welsh stamina until they can go wide or make a linebreak. For the first half, the visitors held majority possession, and capitalised on that throughout the game as Wales lacked the resources to compete for 80 minutes. A sour note to end what looked like an optimistic campaign.

    On a pettier note; why did we play this again? It’s understandable that this fixture was arranged back in 2017 when Wales were, unbelievable as it is to imagine in today’s climate, better than South Africa, but the WRU can’t genuinely believe that such a fixture will develop players in the long-term when they are this far behind their opposition. This Autumn, Wales have played, by relative power, 3 of the 5 strongest teams in World Rugby, and the obvious impact these losing streaks can have on the players seems to be ignored. There wasn’t much more Tandy or his men could do here, and the only hope going forward is that the team can put this mauling behind them, put in solid shifts for their clubs, and come back stronger for it with a plan for the Six Nations. But from an outside perspective, this felt like a waste.

    Player Ratings:

    1: Gareth Thomas 3

    Not an improvement from last week. The Boks may be intimidating opposition, but his immediate struggles at scrumtime put Wales on the backfoot from where they never really recovered. Was also sloppy at the breakdown and invisible on attack.

    2: Dewi Lake 6

    One messed up lineout hampered what was otherwise a solid evening despite the odds. Lake had a significant impact on both sides of the ball and fought deep into the game, showing the kind of passion expected from the captain.

    3: Keiron Assiratti 5

    A disappointing outing, but fair play given how long he had to stay on field. Never backed down and the scrum stabilised eventually, but this was not his game in the end. Can at least end the autumn with credit in the bank after his last few performances

    4: Ben Carter 6

    One of Wales’ most underrated players, and though he couldn’t impose himself against the larger Springbok pack, he didn’t miss a beat with his tackles. Kept a characteristic level-head and threw out some big hits where needed, though he’s been more dominant in the past.

    5: Rhys Davies 4

    Was hyped up for his strong carrying and abrasive playstyle, but barely got the ball and was generally outshined by everyone else. Not what he needed to prove his value to the squad.

    6: Taine Plumtree 4

    Couldn’t stamp out his discipline issues nor really manage the Springboks’ physical onslaught. His tackle-rip on Kwaga Smith was nice, but looked out of his depth at the breakdown

    7: Alex Mann 6

    Weak first half, but grew into the game and generated some turnovers for Wales. Likely won’t wear this jersey much going forward, but in context, he had a great game given the unwinnable physical battle and his lack of experience.

    8: Aaron Wainwright 7

    Wales’ best player overall; even that nasty eye injury couldn’t hold him back as he injected energy into the forward pack with ball in hand. Would;ve also been higher up the tackle chart if not for his injury, as he made the second-most tackles per minute of anyone involved. Becoming instrumental to the squad if he wasn’t already

    9: Kieran Hardy 4

    Is not Tomos Williams. Which isn’t an issue in and of itself, as Williams is a world-class scrum-half, but the difference in speed of ball was felt and South Africa had no trouble predicting his runs and capitalising on the breakdown. Whenever he slipped up, it was noticed.

    10: Dan Edwards 4

    Couldn’t control the game nearly as well as usual, and utterly botched on restart. Distributed well for the most part, but was targeted on defence and yielded too often.

    11: Rio Dyer 7

    He’s still got it; was consistently involved in Wales’ attack and actually put in a solid defensive shift with 9 tackles. His kick-chase skills kept the pressure on, though Ethan Hooker outplayed him for the former’s try.

    12: Joe Hawkins 4

    Probably wished he was playing for the Scarlets this week; poor defensive work with a 67% tackle rate and got tangled up with Roberts more than you’d expect given their experience together. Kicked well to be fair.

    13: Joe Roberts 5

    Same problems as Hawkins, but brought a little more on attack with his carries. The Springboks just had more than enough class in the midfield to manage anything he could output, however.

    14: Ellis Mee 5

    A mixed performance; on attack, he was energetic and solid under the high-ball, keeping the pressure on otherwise strong performances from Canan Moodie and Damien Willemse. However, he was turned over too frequently and largely outplayed on defence. Good potential, but has room to develop at this level.

    15: Blair Murray 6

    His best outing of the autumn, as he consistently played with energy and beat 4 defenders as South Africa were pressured to check him. Still struggled under the high ball, but if Tandy wants to persist with him at fullback, he seems to be developing the measures to make it work.

    BENCH

    16: Brodie Coghlan N/A

    Made a pretty solid carry and Wales’ final maul looked promising, but not enough to analyse.

    17: Danny Southworth 4

    No match for the gigantic Asenathi Ntlabakanye at the scrum, and while he made a decent carry, didn’t really impact the game much.

    18: Christian Coleman N/A

    Was injured almost immediately after entering the field, forcing Assiratti back on. Will need to wait longer to show his untapped potential

    19: James Ratti N/A

    Not much difference between him and Rhys Davies

    20: Morgan Morse 6

    Chased Canan Moodie well given he’s a forward, and almost caused his try to be voided as a result. Kept up with Wainwright when covering for him, and generally showed why he should be invested in going forward.

    21: Reuben Morgan-Williams 4

    Quicker service rate, but ran into the same problems as Hardy; Wales’ breakdown was completely destroyed by the time he hit the field and he couldn’t get enough work done to fix it.

    22: Callum Sheedy 4

    Brought a bit more in attack than Edwards, but far from error-proof as his awkward wide pass showed. Not much more he could do beyond distribute.

    23: Ben Thomas N/A

    Could’ve been interesting to see his potential at 15 if Wales weren’t so far on the backfoot.

  • Welsh URC Week 3 Preview