Rugby Blog primarily focusing on Welsh rugby

Tumblr ↗

Tag: cardiff

  • Wales vs New Zealand Review – Autumn Nations 2025

    Wales vs New Zealand Review – Autumn Nations 2025

    Wales 26 – 52 New Zealand

    Following the disappointing outing against Japan last week, Wales desperately needed to show some signs of promise under Tandy, as far too many question marks remained going into two very dangerous fixtures against the All Blacks and Springboks. Fortunately, as that scoreline may suggest, Wales’ attack got firing once again. This is only the second time in their history they’ve scored 4 tries against the all Blacks, and while a weaker team than the New Zealanders typically field, Wales have actually achieved a lot of what they set out to do – instill some hope.

    For 60 minutes, this was not a one-sided game. Tom Rogers’ hattrick brought the game to 21-24, and the atmosphere of the Principality could be felt as Wales looked capable of performing what would’ve been one of the greatest upsets in the sport’s professional history. Nevertheless, it wasn’t to be. But after looking dismayed, out-of-focus, and unstructured against Japan, Wales looked a lot more like an international rugby team with an identity and gameplan; moving the ball quickly out of the rucks, chasing the high-ball, and bringing real pace with ball-in-hand.

    But inevitably, they were not the team with something to lose, and New Zealand were just too hungry and too experienced for the hosts to handle. Discipline and defence, similarly to the Argentina game, just weren’t on the level of the opposition, and despite Mann, Deaves, and Plumtree’s solid ruck skills, no ruck turnovers were won by Wales as they finished with half the visitors’ possession. The backrow didn’t quite have power to win rucks, and as a result couldn’t slow down the All Blacks’ ball speed, giving them the opportunities to score 7 tries. With the squad now missing their players based out of Wales for the Springboks clash, achieving a similar result with a weaker squad will be Tandy’s goal, but this game has given the team a good foundation to build upon.

    Player Ratings

    1: Rhys Carré 3

    A game to forget for the loosehead, who didn’t hold out defensively as he missed 4 tackles, giving away tries to Ruben Lova and Tamaiti Williams. His trademark power didn’t really shine through, and he struggled in the scrum against the less experienced Pasilio Tosi, though he almost got a try of his own with a strong carry.

    2: Dewi Lake 6

    Lake has had a weird autumn so far, as in the loose he remains as effective as ever with 20 tackles and some strong carries. But his issues at the lineout haven’t straightened up, and as he matures at test level, you’d expect it to be less of an issue than it has been. 

    3 Kieron Assiratti 5

    A few penalties held him back, but otherwise held out in the scrum against the much larger Tamaiti Williams. Made some strong tackles, but not much else as the hosts’ couldn’t physically impose themselves in this game.

    4 Dafydd Jenkins 8

    Slightly generous, but one of his best games yet. His signature workrate was as apparent as always, with 21 tackles, but he also read the game very well, with his charge down catching the visitors’ defence off guard. Seems to get better the more he plays, and showed why he needs to be involved with Wales somehow.

    5 Adam Beard 5

    Did a lot more work at the lineout than he has been, but the lack of notable improvement is beginning to raise questions about his place in the starting XV. Not that he’s a bad player, but he doesn’t bring much that the all-rounder Jenkins doesn’t already, and Wales really needed a stronger enforcer here.

    6 Alex Mann 6

    Less dominant than in the first two weeks. Still tied for most tackles completed at 21, but also missed 4 and couldn’t make a mark in the ruck. Was one of the players penalised for errors at the breakdown.

    7 Harri Deaves 6

    With how much power New Zealand threw at Wales and this being his first cap, he made a good account of himself with some very powerful tackles. Still, he couldn’t win anything at the breakdown and was outplayed by Ruben Love for the latter’s try. Has some work to do to surpass other 7s in a competitive jersey for Wales.

    8 Taine Plumtree 4

    A mixed bag; on the one hand, he made 21 tackles like Jenkins and Mann, which is extra impressive with his more limited gametime, but the reason for that was his awful discipline. Plumtree conceded 3 penalties and was carded at an inopportune time for the hosts, showing he still has some work to do to establish himself as a starter.

    9 Tomos Williams 7

    His box-kicking has developed a lot since he became the starting 9 for Wales, and his precision helped Wales out tremendously on attack. Controlled the game brilliantly and made a relatively impressive 14 tackles, though didn’t make any carries or assist any tries directly.

    10 Dan Edwards 7

    Kicked very well, putting pressure on the top-tier All Blacks backline while he set up Rogers’ first try with an excellent offload. His smaller frame didn’t help him on defence, but his aggressive playstyle paid off as he’s very much established himself in this Wales XV.

    11 Tom Rogers 9

    His best game yet, becoming one of only 4 players to score a hattrick against the All Blacks. Holding up Will Jordan’s try required solid skills, though he hasn’t fully fixed his defensive concerns by moving out of position a little too often. There’s little else he did wrong however, and he can be expected to remain in the starting XV somewhere going forward.

    12 Joe Hawkins 6

    Needed a good game to show how he could surpass Ben Thomas, though it was more of a mixed bag as he missed 6 tackles on his first international game since 2023. On attack, however, his distribution skills were best shown with his excellent pass to Max Llewellyn to set up one of Rogers’ tries, and he kicked well for the most part too. Should be trusted with this jersey against South Africa.

    13 Max Llewellyn 6

    Did well to assist 2 tries and made some good defensive reads, but his discipline held him back and even his frame couldn’t make a physical impact against the All Blacks. Has ended the Autumn with extra credit overall, however, and other 13s will have work to do to supplant him.

    14 Louis Rees-Zammit 8

    A big improvement after last week, with his one try being very deserved with his contributions on attack throughout the game. Kick chases, three line breaks, and 82 meters carried gives a good account of his attacking prowess, and while gaps remain in his overall game, will be a crucial player going forward.

    15: Blair Murray 5

    Still struggled under the high ball, but was protected a lot better. Beat 3 defenders and looked as dangerous as ever with ball in hand, but also missed 3 tackles. With how much he’s contributed throughout the year, it’s a shame the majority of talk will be about his waning future at fullback, and Tandy will have to re-consider his place going forward.

    BENCH

    16 Brodie Coghlan N/A

    Dewi Lake played a lot of rugby today, and for the Gwent man’s first cap, he barely had any work to do in the 4 minutes he was given.

    17 Gareth Thomas 2

    2 penalties for the same tackle infringement and a yellow card within the first 5 minutes of coming off the bench are simply not acceptable errors from a player with Thomas’ experience and usual class. Given he’s likely to start the next test, he needs to turn around his performance drastically against a very dangerous Springbok pack, as being sent off had a visible impact on Wales’ structure in the second half.

    18 Archie Griffin 4

    Also a weak performance, as he struggled to handle the experienced George Bower in the scrum and was stood up. Put in a solid defensive effort though.

    19 Freddie Thomas N/A

    Not much gametime, which has been an unfortunate theme for him given he’s played all 3 tests. Clearly has something to give the Wales squad, with his more effective carrying game, but is usually only brought in when the game is wrapped up.

    20 Morgan Morse 6

    Made more carries-per-minute-played than any other player, and he’s clearly a more physical influence in 7 than Deaves. Didn’t have much time to show this however, though the few meters he made helped give Rees-Zammit his try.

    21 Kieran Hardy 5

    Didn’t pass the ball to the other team. It’s hard to look effective as a scrum-half replacing Tomos Williams, but Hardy did his job well when the team was on the back foot and will likely start next week as a result.

    22 Jarrod Evans 4

    Harsh score, but was outplayed by Sevu Reece for the latter’s second try and missed his conversion attempt. Will miss the next game unfortunately, but this game showed his struggles when his team are behind.

    23 Nick Tompkins 6

    The only bench player to really contribute positively, which is impressive given he replaced Wales’ best player at that point. Effective on both sides of the ball, but not enough to really turn the tide by himself. Another breakdown specialist who couldn’t handle the All Blacks’ power.

    My Team for South Africa:

    1. Gareth Thomas
    2. Dewi Lake (C)
    3. Kieron Assiratti
    4. Rhys Davies
    5. Ben Carter
    6. Alex Mann
    7. Morgan Morse
    8. Aaron Wainwright
    9. Kieran Hardy
    10. Dan Edwards
    11. Blair Murray
    12. Joe Hawkins
    13. Joe Roberts
    14. Rio Dyer
    15. Tom Rogers

    BENCH

    1. Evan Lloyd
    2. Danny Southworth
    3. Christian Coleman
    4. James Fender
    5. Harri Deaves
    6. Taine Plumtree
    7. Reuben Morgan-Williams
    8. Jacob Beetham

    With some new call-ups added to the squad following the departure of outside players, I’ve picked a team that can prioritise physicality and limit the Springboks’ influence at the breakdown as much as possible. Experience determines the front-row and lock combinations, as Carter and Davies are both comfortable in physical contests against South African teams. Assuming Aaron Wainwright is fit, there isn’t enough room for James Ratti, as Deaves is trusted to come off the bench and provide a solid defensive performance as he did against the Stormers and Bulls in the URC. I’ve also selected Evan Lloyd ahead of initial squad member Brodie Coghlan, as while there isn’t much in it, Lloyd is larger and a bit more dynamic in his carrying, making the bigger difference with the more limited minutes the 16 jersey is likely to have.

    Joe Roberts joins the XV as the only out-and-out 13 in the squad, while Tom Rogers moves to fullback and Murray moves to the wing for the aerial contest. Jacob Beetham and Ellis Mee are good options too, but experience is the deciding factor against a more well-honed Springbok side. I’ve opted for a 6-2 bench as well to prevent the forwards from being too exhausted by the Springboks’ physical contests, and Beetham can play everywhere except 9 anyway. 

  • Wales vs Japan Review – Autumn Nations 2025

    Wales 24- 23 Japan

    After the Argentina game pressure was on Tandy to rally the squad after that performance and improve key areas of the game.There, Wales had a very solid attacking structure undermined by poor aerial control and inconsistent defence, which the more experienced Argentina side were able to adapt to and capitalise on. While few adjustments were made, Wales’ signs of promise suggested we may see a more dominant performance against a side of similar standing like Japan.

    We didn’t.

    By all accounts, Wales probably shouldn’t have won this; Japan had 6% more possession and two-thirds of the territory. Only poor discipline and inexperience gave Wales the opportunities to win this game; to their credit, almost every entry to Japan’s 22 gave Wales a try, but getting there seemed nigh-impossible at times. Almost no energy, dynamism, or coordination in attack left the hosts forced to rely on individual success just to get across the field, as they couldn’t win the aerial battles to kick for territory or outpace Japan’s defenders reliably enough. The squad looked even lower on confidence and determination than against Argentina, against a team that’s only beaten the latter once in their entire history.

    But still, in the last 10 minutes, Tandy’s bench pulled through; Japan’s final entries to Wales’ 22 were turned around into a brilliant across-the-field play from Wales, and a final maul gave them the penalty needed for Jarrod Evans to take it back. But still, Wales shouldn’t need to be in these situations; these players have played better games against far more experienced, clinical, and well-rounded teams than Japan, but the adjustments made were insufficient to match-up against Jones’ men. Japan lost the game by their lack of experience finishing their work; Wales won it because they knew they needed to in order to avoid an even lower low than has been playing them all-year. They’ve edged into the top 12 for the Rugby World Cup seedings, but against New Zealand and South Africa, serious improvements will need to be made if Tandy is to reinstill hope in this team.

    Player Ratings:

    1: Nicky Smith 6

    Good scrummaging, though he couldn’t force many errors from Japan. One big dominant tackle stood out next to his otherwise underwhelming effort without the ball, though he’s becoming a better carrier.

    2: Dewi Lake 5

    Wales’ lineout comfortably came out second best, and while his defensive work was very reliable, the blame has to fall to Lake for Wales’ errors here. The team didn’t really look as though they had the drive to win, which doesn’t paint a particularly good picture of his captaincy either, though his past record means he’ll likely retain it going forward.

    3: Archie Griffin 6

    The scrum was generically good for Wales, and Griffin made a more considerable account of himself on defence than Smith. As one of the less experienced players in the squad, he more than keeps up with what has been a surprisingly consistent pack.

    4: Dafydd Jenkins 6

    Brought a bit more of his usual workhorse nature to this game than the last; made the second most amount of tackles than anyone else on the pitch, and got a lot out of his limited carries, though his penalty following Nick Tompkins’ try took the wind out of Wales’ sails for a while.

    5: Adam Beard 5

    Helped out a lot with the defence, making 14 tackles, but given that he played 80 minutes you’d expect more work from an international lock; that’s the same tackle-per-minute score as Tomos. The lineout was messy, and given his skillset you’d have expected to see more from him in this area.

    6: Aaron Wainwright 5

    I don’t really know what to do with Wainwright; he made more tackles per minute than everyone besides Cracknell and when he got the ball in hand, he made good progress. But in both areas, he also made a few big errors, which stood out with how few errors Mann and Cracknell made. 5 might be a bit harsh, but the competition for backrow spots is tight and he needs to tidy up if he is to be retained.

    7: Alex Mann 8

    The poor guy kept getting battered by all of Japan’s illegal tackles, but he knew what Tandy needed from him and he delivered. The most consistent lineout operator and made some notable tackles, he more than kept up with Cracknell on both sides of the ball.

    8: Olly Cracknell 9

    The official man-of-the-match, Cracknell epitomised what Wales actually did quite well; he made 27 tackles and while he may have missed a few, he was one of the only players offering themselves as a powerful carrying option. Never timid on either side of the ball, he’s made a solid case for this jersey going into the Six Nations.

    9: Tomos Williams 7

    One very dumb penalty hindered what was otherwise a solid performance. Tomos assisted all 3 of Wales’ tries and maintained a notable kicking presence which kept Japan on the backfoot out of Wales’ rucks. Led quite well during his brief stint as captain too, which may need to be a part of his game for Wales going forward.

    10: Dan Edwards 7

    Better kicking game, especially next to Seungsin Lee’s mixed performances. His opening try could’ve been a great momentum-starter had the rest of the team pulled their weight to a similar extent. Not the next for controlling the game yet, but he’s steadily growing at this level, and it’s great to see.

    11: Josh Adams 2

    The best aerial operator of the outside backs, not that it’s a particularly high bar. A few decent attempts at carrying doesn’t overshadow his weak defensive performance and a completely idiotic error that led to a red card. Adams has been making too many mistakes at this level, and it’s questionable if he should start as often as he does.

    12: Ben Thomas 3

    Did little else beyond shuffle the ball to other players, and was under considerable pressure in his own channel. Looked as though he didn’t know how to go forward, and after his weak performance last week, will be lucky to be retained next week.

    13: Max Llewellyn 5

    A better showing than Thomas, with some reasonable carries and game-reading, but never really made a significant impact. Compared to his more well-rounded showing last week, he hasn’t really done much to show his potential at this level

    14: Louis Rees-Zammit 6

    A mixed bag; I can’t rate Zammit too lowly when he’s beating 8 defenders in a single game, and his one break down the field gave Wales significant progress on defence. Still, his defence and aerial game looked very rusty, and he needs to add some more “us” to his “me” game to re-attain his past form. Not reading plays particularly well.

    15: Blair Murray 3

    Yet again, a poor aerial performance which didn’t enable him enough carrying to show his good qualities. It’s hard to justify persisting with him as a fullback at this stage; Japan’s backs comfortably had his number in the air and he got turned over way too often for any of his plays to mean much.

    BENCH

    16: Liam Belcher 6

    That driving maul was incredible, and Belcher certainly made an impact in his strangely limited time on the field.

    17: Rhys Carré 6

    He’s always been second-best to Smith at the scrum, but more than kept up after he took over the loosehead role. Made a lot more considerable carries, so the bench spot looks like the role for him going forward.

    18: Kieron Assiratti 6

    Didn’t outshine Griffin, but played like a man hungry for revenge after his poor performance in the summer, making the most of his limited time on the field. Decent tackle rate against an elusive Japanese side.

    19: Freddie Thomas 5

    Once again, barely got to play, and you question what Tandy expects him to bring off of the bench. His limited work looked solid, however.

    20: Taine Plumtree 5

    Made a turnover, which is nice. Didn’t really outshine the otherwise underwhelming Wainwright, as his own errors held him back.

    21: Kieran Hardy N/A

    I think Tandy was nervous about making him play against Japan again.

    22: Jarrod Evans 8

    Won the game with a very confident penalty kick. We may have seen some more flourishes had he been brought on earlier, but did everything he needed to do, so he earns a high score for such little time.

    23: Nick Tompkins 7

    Brought immediate impact as he scored a try shortly after replacing Adams. Quietened down a bit after that, but like Jarrod, did exactly what was asked of him.

    My Team for New Zealand

    1. Nicky Smith
    2. Dewi Lake
    3. Archie Griffin
    4. Rhys Davies
    5. Dafydd Jenkins
    6. Alex Mann
    7. Morgan Morse
    8. Olly Cracknell
    9. Tomos Williams
    10. Dan Edwards
    11. Rio Dyer
    12. Joe Hawkins
    13. Louie Hennessey
    14. Louis Rees-Zammit
    15. Jacob Beetham

    BENCH

    1. Liam Belcher
    2. Rhys Carré
    3. Kieron Assiratti
    4. Freddie Thomas
    5. Aaron Wainwright
    6. Kieran Hardy
    7. Jarrod Evans
    8. Nick Tompkins

    I’ve wielded the axe quite a bit, as I hope and somewhat expect Tandy to do the same. While cohesion was valuable for a must-win game like Japan, we need players who perform even more, and the current setup just isn’t working right now. Notably, the midfield is completely swapped for Hawkins and Hennessey, who are younger players but have high ceilings than Thomas and Llewellyn in the long run – they’ll need gametime at some point. Dyer and Beetham complete the backline to replace underperforming players, as they possess the necessary qualities to perform their role at test level, though they’ll need to step up to perform against New Zealand.

  • Wales vs Argentine Review – Autumn Nations 2025

    Wales vs Argentina Review – Autumn Nations 2025

    Wales 28 – 52 Argentina

    Feels strange to say that, given we lost by 24 points and conceded 7 tries, this felt like a gain overall for Wales. At no point did it feel as though we were going to win (not helped by a genuinely weak start) but like Italy vs New Zealand last year, it was a defeat where Wales felt capable of challenging one of the world’s strongest teams. After the game, both Dewi Lake and Steve Tandy mentioned they felt it was a 50/50 performance, and given they’ve only been together for 2 weeks, that’s an achievement in and of itself against a more experienced Pumas side who’ve been playing consistently since June.

    The start though, may have cost us in the long run. At times, Wales looked dejected and struggling for air against a relentless bombardment of kicks and rucks, and one might have wondered if a stronger beginning could have kept them more fired up. It was hard to see a 14 point lead in the first 10 minutes, and some of the younger players looked unconfident. Others rose to the occasion, and I’ll cover player ratings later, but overall Argentina were simply far more clinical; every Welsh mistake had an effect on the game, while Wales needed to work a lot harder for their scores.

    Overall, is this a disappointing result? Wales didn’t click as well as I expected, so I suppose it qualifies, but I don’t think it’s anything to be alarmed about. Defence will need to improve against more free-flowing teams like New Zealand and Japan, the former of whom can put 50-60 points on stronger sides than Wales, but if we keep up this level of power, we should still beat the latter. Argentina had every advantage going into this game besides the homefield; physically larger, better aerial options, far more experienced players (how often do teams get to field two centurions of Montoya and Matera’s quality?), more in-form players coming off of the Rugby Championship, and far more to lose had they fallen short.

    You can’t call it anything other than a mixed bag for Wales, but the trolls and doomsayers are far off the mark; we can work with this.

    Player Ratings:

    1: Rhys Carré 5

    Hyped up to be a sizable carrying threat, but he only managed 5. Less so his fault, but he was generally underutilised in a game where his physicality was needed. Didn’t really scrummage well either.

    2: Dewi Lake 7

    A strong carrying game, Lake brought his typical gameplay to a fairly average degree. Not a bad game for him, but his lineout errors still haven’t faded entirely, and he really needs to stamp those out if Wales’ lineout is to be a weapon. The try takes him up a point.

    3: Kieron Assiratti 7

    Weirdly good game; a very criticised player for his lack of positive impact and mediocre scrummaging, but he held out every scrum against Vivas and made a better carrying effort than usual. Showed he does in fact have a solid ceiling, though this score may flatter him; this may have been his best Wales game so far.

    4: Dafydd Jenkins 6

    Like Lake, mostly just played as well as usual. On the other hand, Jenkins’ workrate backfired, as he conceded the most penalties of anyone in the match, but 2 penalties isn’t really a problem. Should grow as the month goes on.

    5: Adam Beard 5

    With how much his lineout skills were needed, he was just ok. His great maul defence definitely caused Benitez Cruz some issues, but he was mostly invisible on attack. Lots of tackles, though.

    6: Alex Mann 7

    The same excellent tackler as usual, and with how well he’s played in his last 3 Wales games, may be here for another few this month. The first 10 minutes were rough, however, as he took a minute to get going and got outplayed by more experienced Argentine attackers. Actually made some solid carries too, but has some things to work on for Japan.

    7: Jac Morgan 9

    Once again, Wales’ best player. Showed some remarkable strength, restraining the power and dynamism of even Oviedo, but that injury will worry Tandy. Was genuinely considered for player of the match despite not playing 80 minutes and being on the weaker team; a testament to his value.

    8: Aaron Wainwright 7

    Trademark strong carries, but an above average defensive effort too. Has definitely nailed down this jersey in Faletau’s absence if he hadn’t already, though Argentina’s own power left him with little to show for it. 

    9: Tomos Williams 8

    Wales’ second best player. A fairly harmless yellow aside, was an excellent carrier and distributor who kept Wales in the game. Will be one of the most important players going forward until the next World Cup cycle, and this game showed why.

    10: Dan Edwards 6

    A mixed performance; his inexperience showed as Argentina’s mighty forward pack pressured him into some questionable kicks, but he nailed every conversion and made an absolutely beautiful run where he beat 3 defenders in quick succession. I’m expecting him to keep this jersey against Japan.

    11: Josh Adams 5

    Outside backs had an unusually weak game here, though Adams tried to make something of every opportunity he held the ball. Defensively underwhelming with a 33% tackle success rate, but didn’t have a lot to work with in the first place.

    12: Ben Thomas 3

    Should he have been carded? As Nigel Owens pointed out, it’s hard to penalise a player for foul play they didn’t actually make, but even with the 10 minutes taken away, Thomas didn’t really do much else except hand the ball to Prisciantelli for the latter’s second try. The few carries he made didn’t do him many favours, and this was probably his worst game so far.

    13: Max Llewellyn 7

    Finally, finally managed to bring something close to his Gloucester form last season to the test arena. While his try was disallowed, his defensive workrate surprised me, with 16 tackles showing he’s more than just a carrier. Wales have struggled to nail down the 13 jersey, but Llewellyn made a great case here.

    14: Tom Rogers 4

    Rogers was supposed to be our best aerial player, limiting Argentina’s influence over the high ball, and instead we got a budget Rio Dyer. While his ability to chase was impressive, he missed almost every opportunity he had to slow down the Pumas ball, and only made one linebreak compared to his great attacking form last Six Nations. Louis Rees-Zammit made much more of a positive impact in much less time.

    15: Blair Murray 5

    Another mixed bag; Murray has come under criticism for his lack of height limiting his aerial influence, and while I think he is technically solid in this area, he didn’t prove it here. Consistently pressured, his solid workrate on both sides of the ball saved him from a lower score.

    BENCH

    16: Liam Belcher 6

    Nice bench impact, as his usual workrate was felt more than most, but not enough to really turn any tides.

    17: Nicky Smith 6

    Better carrying performance than usual; he made more carries than Carré, weirdly enough. Not much impact at scrumtime though; Wales went backwards when Gallo came into play.

    18: Archie Griffin 6

    Same as Smith, though we’ve come to expect good carrying from Griffin.

    19: Freddie Thomas 5

    Unnoticed and mostly underwhelming, though he didn’t have the time to do much else.

    20: Olly Cracknell 5

    Showed how his carrying presence could help Wales, but only made 4. Smith and Griffin made more impact in a similar amount of time.

    21: Kieran Hardy N/A

    He played for about 5 minutes. I’m not petty enough to judge anyone for having no impact in that time

    22: Jarrod Evans 6

    No real drop-off compared to Edwards, nailed his one conversion, and worked well with Rees-Zammit on the outside.

    23: Louis Rees-Zammit 7

    The real bench impact of the game, but with 3 turnovers lost, he’s not exactly back to his best. Could’ve added an extra try to Wales’ tally to alleviate some of the negativity, but it wasn’t to be. If he starts the next game, I’ll be looking forward to it.

  • Wales vs Argentina Preview – Autumn Nations

    Wales vs Argentina Preview – Autumn Nations

    The first game under what is hopefully a more optimistic era for Welsh rugby, yet it still seems as though there’s a looming sense of dread going into what is ultimately a very difficult run of fixtures. Argentina are fresh off of the Rugby Championship, where they scored wins against similarly hardened New Zealand and Australia sides, and their playstyle of wearing teams down with physical aggression and consistent aerial bombardment could be a serious challenge to a team still finding their feet under a new system.

    Then again, with pundits already writing Wales off, there isn’t really much for the hosts to lose here. They have just emerged from an 18 game losing streak against Tier 1 opposition, and apart from their second fixture against Japan, it’s difficult for anyone to objectively bet on a Welsh victory until next summer, with their Six Nations rivals all boasting more complete and established squads. With a new coaching setup and a new team, this is the perfect opportunity for Wales to show what’s changed since last year, where they can go from here, and how high their ceiling could reach.

    Argentina are one of the best teams to prove this; they aren’t as consistently dominant as South Africa and New Zealand, they aren’t an underwhelming milestone like Samoa or the USA, and they are a team we haven’t played since the World Cup, where there isn’t an expected “standard” of how Wales in their current state compare (like Australia or the Six Nations teams). With Tandy’s squad having a visible shape and a fairly clear gameplan, it will be interesting to see how much the squad has learned from this new coaching team.

    Last Time

    I won’t spend much time on this section given how much as changed since the last World Cup, but Wales did measure up fairly well to Argentina the last time they played. They still lost 17-29, but scored the same number of tries and remained in the game until the last 10 minutes. The area that really cost them was discipline; Argentina won off the back of 3 kicked penalties, and Wales were the less clinical in their execution overall.

    Luckily, discipline is not one of Argentina’s biggest strengths. Arguably, it’s their kryptonite; with such a passionate, physically oriented team, overextending is more or less expected. Wales don’t have the physicality to pressure Argentina, but if they maintain their breakdown control through Alex Mann and Jac Morgan, they could turn this loss on its head.

    Where the game will be won

    The aerial game and breakdown control. It’s a boring and simple point, but whoever controls these areas controls the attack, and when unleashed, both of these teams have very intimidating attacks. Argentina have kept Rodrigo Isgro – their best aerial operator – on the bench, so he’ll avoid Tom Rogers who will try to have a similar influence under the high ball. Both teams also have a similar number of kicking options, with Geronimo Prisciantelli and Santiago Carreras being as comfortable aiming for touch as Dan Edwards and Ben Thomas. But where Argentina may edge out is in the first phase; they have the larger forwards, and everyone from 4-8 is comfortable aggressively pursuing rucks

    If Wales are to win, however, they will most certainly target the lineout. With Adam Beard’s aerial skills, even Montoya’s consistent throwing could lead to turnover ball for Wales, and Dafydd Jenkins and Alex Mann are also dangerous jumpers. Kremer, meanwhile, is not a lineout jumper, so they’ll be relying on Pablo Matera and Juan Martin Gonzalez as jumpers alongside Guido Petti. Controlling the lineout could save or set up some crucial tries for Wales, especially with the danger of their rolling mauls and post-lineout carriers like Rhys Carré and Aaron Wainwright.

    Key Matchups

    1. Both teams like their mauls, but Julian Montoya and Dewi Lake are much more than ball carriers for their teams. Both are dominant around the park with their sheer passion and physicality, and in a game where Wales will want to target the lineout, every throw will need to be spot-on for both sides.
    2. Under the high ball, Santiago Carreras and Blair Murray are brilliant triple-threat counter-attackers who can seriously dent their opposition if left unchecked. Carreras has played most of the Championship as a fly-half, so his distribution will be on point, while Murray is infamously hard to stop in the narrow channels and will chase every opportunity he’s given.
    3. In the centres, Santiago Chocobares and Ben Thomas are both very intelligent players who are crucial to their team’s gameplans, but in terms of style, they couldn’t be more different. Chocobares is a post-contact demon who will want to carry into narrow channels and draw in defenders, choosing great lines where he can gain ground for the visitors. Thomas, meanwhile, is a master distributor and attack-controller, more than capable of leveraging opportunities himself, but is most comfortable manipulating defences to give outside threats space to wreak havoc.

    Other Players to Watch

    • Rhys Carré makes his return to Welsh rugby in place of Nicky Smith at 1. With Wales relatively limited carrying options, Tandy has selected him to carry hard from the front row. He’s in excellent form for Saracens right now, so his impact will be felt.
    • Olly Cracknell also debuts from the bench. Tandy is a big fan of his, with the two of them having worked together in the former’s Ospreys days, and if he replaces Wainwright, he’ll need to bring his trademark physicality and large size to dominate collisions.

    Prediction: Wales 20 – 29 Argentina

    The goal for Wales here is ultimately to instill hope for the future and find their identity on the world stage. A win is certainly possible, and would send tremors throughout World Rugby that they have returned as a force to be reckoned with, but Argentina’s physicality, form, and experience should be enough to wear them out by the 80-minute mark.

  • My Team for Wales vs Argentina – Autumn Nations

    My Team for Wales vs Argentina

    First game of the international season for Steve Tandy’s Wales, and they’re up against an Argentine side fresh off of the Rugby Championship. Argentina may have finished 4th out of 4, but unlike Wales, they have been much more composed against the strongest opposition in the world; they’ve beaten New Zealand, Australia and the British and Irish Lions, though unlike last year, they couldn’t quite topple South Africa or score a win against a depleted England.

    Even with their opposition’s struggles, Wales are decidedly not favourites; barring all the weaknesses that have affected Welsh rugby in recent years, Argentina’s larger players and the quality of their experience will present a considerable challenge to Tandy’s men, who will still be adapting to playing a new system with new players. It’s a lot more winnable than New Zealand and South Africa however, so let’s delve into why & the team I would select to face Los Pumas.

    The Opposition:

    The last time Wales and Argentina played was in the quarter-final of the 2023 Rugby World Cup, where superior breakdown work won the latter the game. Since then, Argentina have been on a slow and inconsistent, but ultimately steady rise as their world class talents continue to gain experience and they being to claim consistent scalps against the Top 4, who seem much further out of reach for Wales. In the meantime, Wales have just broken out of a significant losing streak to restart their international campaign under a new coach, who has promised a new identity and a reinvigorated pack of players.

    In terms of players to watch out for, Tomas Albornoz has been injured since the Rugby Championship, but Santiago Carreras has stepped in to tidy up Los Pumas’ midfield, and his game management will be key if they are to dominate Wales. Argentina like to play behind a physically dominant pack through their dual-blindsides approach in Pablo Matera and Marcos Kremer, and I expect to see both players featuring here. Joaquin Oviedo usually completes the back-row, and his powerful ball-carrying is more than a match for players like Aaron Wainwright, while Rodrigo Isgro could be deployed on the wing, as his aerial dominance is world-class.

    As for weaknesses, Argentina had the weakest scrum of the Rugby Championship sides, though that’s hardly saying much against props like Ox Nche and Ethan de Groot. Aside from that, they’ve had a consistent issue with discipline on both sides of the ball. If Wales can force Argentina to overextend and concede penalties on defence, it can open opportunities to unlock their attack and take the points lead.

    Now, let’s move on to my team, designed to take on the blunt force and controlled aggression of Los Pumas.

    1: Nicky Smith

    Wales’ best scrummager, and his ability to punch above his weight and force scrum penalties from some of the best tightheads in the world makes him invaluable to Wales’ pack. He’s been in good form so far this domestic season, though less groundbreaking than last, and his performance against Ireland in the Six Nations showed how high his ceiling can get. 

    2: Dewi Lake

    Arguably Wales’ second best forward and leagues above their other options at hooker. Currently one of the leaders in the URC for most turnovers and a consistent carrier with ball in hand, Lake is excellent on both sides of the ball, and his usual weakness (lineout throwing) has improved considerably since the World Cup. Wales lack large and powerful carriers overall, so his presence will need to be felt if they are to win collisions.

    3: Archie Griffin

    This is the toughest call of the front row, as Griffin hasn’t really had as much gametime as the more in-form Kieron Assiratti or upcoming scrum threat Christian Coleman. However, having trained against players like Beno Obano and Thomas du Toit, Griffin is confident in his ability to handle some of the stronger looseheads in the world. His scrummaging isn’t the most consistent, but he’s a menace around the field and more than capable of making 20+ tackles in a game, and he’s a comfortable carrying option too. He’ll have his work cut out for him against a likely return for Thomas Gallo, but after holding off Ellis Genge in the PREM last season, it’s not crazy that he might win.

    4: Dafydd Jenkins

    Still one of Wales and Exeter’s best players. Not the flashiest carrier, but his workrate is well-proven at this point; 2nd most tackles in this year’s Six Nations, one of the leading carriers in the PREM this season, and usually plays 80 minutes for Exeter, able to fulfill the role of both an enforcer and a lineout taker. His large size and physicality should threaten Argentinian forwards with dominant tackles and turnovers, so I’d keep have him play the former role in this game.

    5: Adam Beard

    Since moving to Montpellier, Beard hasn’t lost his touch at the lineout. He’s one of the Top 14’s leading lineout takers, and having a player with that level of experience and confidence in the air will make it much easier to limit Argentina’s own dominance in this area. He’s just as good on defence too, reaching similar tackle success rates as Jenkins, and his maul defence especially will be valuable. Julian Montoya is arguably Argentina’s best player, and restraining his ability to control the maul and lineout will be critical if Wales are to perform an upset.

    6: Freddie Thomas

    I had a really tough time with this spot; Taine Plumtree is an excellent player with a really high ceiling, but his discipline this season has really cost him here. With the other two back row spots relatively clear cut, a strong lineout forward who can carry with more athleticism in wider channels will be required. As I’m less fussed about Wainwright and Cracknell’s skills in the breakdown, I’ve selected Freddie Thomas, who can make line brakes with some serious pace and consistency while still clearing out rucks and generating turnovers where needed.

    7: Jac Morgan

    Duh, he’s the captain. Most tackles in this year’s Six Nations, strong at the breakdown and in carrying, and more than capable of starting and finishing some brilliant attacking plays. On the Lions Tour, he was used primarily to hit defensive rucks and make turnovers, and I think this is where he should focus his efforts for Wales as well. While he can perform anywhere Wales need him to (except the lineout), he’s had to wear a lot of hats throughout the Gatland era, and having players around him who can relieve some of that pressure should bring out his world-class potential.

    8: Aaron Wainwright

    The best carrier in the squad, in both wide and narrow channels. The latter will be his main focus, though his pace and ability to beat defenders will force Argentina to dedicate a lot of resources to contain him wherever he arrives. Less dominant on defence, but that’s why I’ve selected the other two back rowers alongside him, giving him room to play the game that won him Men Player of the Year in 2024. Arguably the in-form back rower in Wales, his place somewhere in the back row is pretty much inevitable.

    9: Tomos Williams

    The other Lion. Not quite at the same level of form for Gloucester as last season, but still one of their better players, and should bring his PREM-honed skills to the forefront with an improved Wales pack. A serious triple-threat, his kicking has improved in recent seasons, and he’s made some really elite assists and tries over the last year. As a newly-appointed captain, he should also bring some leadership to the midfield.

    10: Dan Edwards

    Fly-half selection is a battle between experience and talent. Edwards may not have the multi-season, silverware-winning experience of Evans or Sheedy, but he’s already proven to have a lot of potential at this level of rugby, and the more pronounced weaknesses of the other two fly-halves should give way to more starting caps for the Osprey. Another triple-threat, he can work well with Sherratt’s attack system by carrying through gaps or finding space for other threats, and he was certainly confident doing this against Japan.

    11: Josh Adams

    Tom Rogers may have a more solid aerial game, but Adams brings more form and experience to balance things out. A strong player in contact, he should still be able to contain Isgro defensively, while ability to select excellent lines on attack will keep the Argentinians on their toes. He may end up moving to 13 if injuries become a concern, but he’s comfortably the best winger on defence, and provided he keeps a level head, should make a solid impact in this game.

    12: Ben Thomas

    Never feels easy choosing centres for Wales, as none have really made a mark, but Thomas is the most likely. Yet another triple threat, he’s been instrumental to Sherratt’s attack at Cardiff and Wales, and his game-reading skills and experience should enable him to exploit gaps with lethal precision. Hawkins is a similarly good option, but Thomas’ established position and greater impact so far this season gives him the edge.

    13: Max Llewellyn

    With less competition at 13, Llewellyn’s established partnership with Thomas should make for an effective weapon on attack. One of the few backs who can really get Wales over the gainline, he can carry into traffic or shift out wide to break through the Argentinian defence. Like Tomos, he also hasn’t really made the same impact as last season (injury hasn’t helped his case), but his high ceiling is evident.

    14: Louis Rees-Zammit

    It should feel good to see a healthy Rees-Zammit back in the squad. His pace alone makes him an incredibly dangerous player, and combined with his increased bulk from his time in the NFL’s training program, Mateo Carreras will have a tough time taking him on. In his limited time for Bristol, he’s covered 15 and 14, and added some seriously brilliant tries to his portfolio. Provided he’s upped his contact game, his impact on both sides of the ball will be invaluable.

    15: Blair Murray

    He’s been one of Wales’ best players this season, and I see no reason to take him out now. Even with the Argentinians’ aerial prowess, Murray is as good as a player of his size reasonably can be under the high ball, and his counterattacking game will make the opposition think twice about kicking to his side of the field. Much stronger defences than Argentina’s have struggled to deal with Murray, and his talent for beating defenders and setting up threats out wide will get Wales’ attack firing

    BENCH

    16: Liam Belcher

    Brodie Coghlan is a player I think is highly underrated, and this really just comes down to size versus form. With how large my bench already is, I think Belcher’s reliable work around the field and similar leadership ability to Lake will be more valuable. With, admittedly, twice the number of carries as Coghlan, he’s made 100 additional meters in post-contact, so he should be more than capable of scoring tries out of the maul.

    17: Rhys Carre

    Like Rees-Zammit, this return should be felt. Carre is an exceptional carrier whose enormous size and serious pace should obliterate opposing defenders, and should more than make up for Wainwright or Lake leaving just after half-time. Adding that much mass to the pack will also make room for some more agile carriers off the bench, and his offensive skills will create numerous opportunities to deal damage.

    18: Christian Coleman

    A bold choice, but like Carre, Coleman’s size and carrying skills edge out Assiratti, especially given his stronger form in Japan. Adam Jones has acknowledged how his scrummaging hasn’t really reached its full potential, and the like-minded Duncan Jones should help him unlock that innate skill similarly to how Duncan worked on Tomos Francis. His limited rugby might hold him back, so like Griffin, it may come down to how much he’s trained.

    19: Ben Carter

    Rhys Davies and James Fender are more specialised, but I’ve selected Carter for his defensive prowess and versatile skillset. He can operate as both a lineout taker or an enforcer, as he has for Dragons so far, and was especially impressive against Ulster and Cardiff. He was a valuable up-and-comer before injury took him out of the squad, and I see no reason to hold him back from returning to the fold.

    20: Alex Mann

    Not the largest back-rower, but arguably the most in-form blindside in Wales. Being able to work the lineout and frustrate much larger men at the breakdown, his athleticism should make him a consistent nuisance on both sides of the ball. Covering both 6 and 7 also gives him an edge over the larger Plumtree as well, in addition to his similar try-scoring rate, and he’s proven a solid aerial operator under Sherratt’s system in the past.

    21: Olly Cracknell

    With how strong Argentina’s pack is, I think a 6-2 split is the right call, and Cracknell brings all of Wainwright’s powerful carrying off the bench to generate meters and set up finishes, assuming he doesn’t barrel over himself. The heaviest of the backrowers, his size will balance out the lighter Mann and Morgan, and that plus the quality of his domestic experience gives him the advantage over the similarly uncapped Morse

    22: Reuben Morgan-Williams

    Between the two Ospreys scrum-halves, it’s a close call. Hardy has much more international experience and more frequently starts for the club when both are healthy, but RMW was much more solid against Japan and has had a lot more rugby in the lead up to the tour following Hardy’s rib injury.

    23: Nick Tompkins

    RMW made solid coverage on the wings against Japan, so with Thomas being able to play 10 or 15 in a pinch, choosing a centre as coverage would be optimal. Tompkins is comfortably the in-form centre, playing the most minutes of the 12s and earning MotM against Newcastle while being very reliable on both sides of the ball, especially defence. A clutch turnover or linebreak might be the difference maker for Wales, and while Tompkins hasn’t been the most reliable at this level, a new coaching structure might bring out his best rugby.

  • My Wales Team – Autumn Series 2025

  • Welsh URC Week 3 Preview

  • Welsh URC Week 2 Preview

  • Welsh URC Week 1 Review